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MiFID II - what about listed companies? Thoughts on the research outlook.
Much
has been written about MiFID II in recent months, accelerating to fever pitch
late in 2017 as the launch date of January 2018 approaches. The second “Markets
in Financial Instruments Directive” is legislation emanating from the European
Commission designed to regulate (with MiFID I) the operation of financial
markets in the EU.
Among
other things, MiFID II focuses on the topic of unbundling, the separation of
payment streams for different services such as: trading; investment advice
(broker research) and the like. This blog post is not the forum for an
exhaustive analysis of the whole MiFID menu but one notable segment has great
relevance for the markets in general and investor relations teams in particular
– research and how it is paid for.
The
vast majority of commentary this year has focused on the asset managers (and
how they should pay for research) and the broker community (the providers of
research and the party most likely to lose under these new rules). Conventional
thinking assumes that, as asset managers decide between charging their clients
for the research product they buy from the brokers, or paying for that
information out of their own revenues, they will become more specific about
what they buy and more demanding and results oriented around the quality of
that product. Similarly, brokers are confronted with some tough decisions to
make: should they continue to cover any financial entity that does not have
high volume (attracting commissions) or an exciting story, or any investment
banking business coming up? Or, put another way, should they limit their
coverage to what they only know they can sell to the investment
community?
One
party that has been covered less in this developing story is the corporate
entity, the listed company that is the underlying product in this heated
debate.
Most
large companies with global brands will always be the core of a fundamental
manager’s portfolio. Similarly, smaller companies that lie in the high
excitement, high growth sectors will attract enough interest to warrant thorough
coverage. Companies with plans to raise capital will have no problem attracting
the Street’s attention either. But the small- and mid-size companies with low
turnover and even larger companies in boring sectors will offer a challenge to
the sell-side firms which previously covered whole sectors or at least
industries, but now have the bean-counters breathing down their neck.
Coverage
is already shrinking for those companies out of the headlines as brokers shed
staff in response to declining commission revenues. As MiFID II bites, and
transparency in how asset managers pay for services becomes mandatory, it is
not hard to imagine a system where coverage becomes more selective and broad
research devolves to the global brokers alone, while specialist firms limit
their coverage to what is hot and what is valuable.
So
what can companies do to ensure they receive some coverage even when their
market cap. is small, their turnover low, and fund-raising is unnecessary?
Whereas many asset managers would be deeply skeptical about self-directed
research, it is useful perhaps to think about what broker research actually
comprises: substantial amounts of historical financial data provided by the company, overlain by an
opinion about the future, created using the analyst’s knowledge and experience about
the company, its industry, competitors and market environment.
In a
world where asset managers (and even some asset owners) are taking on more of
the load of analyzing investment opportunities, the notion of listed companies
taking on a heavier burden for disseminating information about themselves
doesn’t seem so far-fetched. In fact, they’re already doing most of the heavy
lifting and a greater, more organized effort, led by the investor relations
team, to provide the investment community with all of the information it needs
may be much closer to reality than we think.
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